| 摘要: |
| 摘要：我国政府工作报告中明确提出要加强政府债务管理，防范化解债务风险。本文基于2001－2024年法国政府债务数据，运用定性分析和定量分析相结合的研究方法对法国政府债务风险进行跟踪分析。结果显示，21世纪以来，法国面临债务余额不断攀升、赤字规模持续扩大以及经济增长乏力的问题，法国政府通过债务工具创新、产业投资以及国际合作等措施化解债务风险。中国同样面临财政扩张与结构转型的矛盾，中国需在稳增长与防风险间寻求平衡，以制度创新和科技赋能推动高质量发展，同时通过国际合作提升全球治理参与度，为应对债务挑战提供“中国方案”。 |
| 关键词: 关键词：国别债务；法国政府；债务风险；财政可持续性 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F815.656 |
| 基金项目: |
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| Research on the Risk of French Government Debt |
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LU Xiao-yun1，LI Chang-an1，GUAN Lei-sheng2，CHENG Jia-bing31,2,3
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1.(1.The Poeple’s Bank of China Chongqing Branch;2.The Poeple’s Bank of China Jiangjin Branch;3.The Poeple’s Bank of China Wanzhou Branch)
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| Abstract: |
| Abstract：The Chinese government work report explicitly calls for strengthening government debt management and preventing and resolving debt risks.This paper conducts a tracking analysis of French government debt risks based on data from 2001 to 2024,employing a research methodology that combines qualitative and quantitative analysis.The results show that since the 21st century,France has faced challenges such as continuously rising debt balances,expanding fiscal deficits,and sluggish economic growth.The French government has addressed these debt risks through measures including debt instrument innovation,industrial investment,and international cooperation.Similarly,China faces the dilemma of fiscal expansion and structural transformation.It must strike a balance between stabilizing growth and mitigating risks,driving high-quality development through institutional innovation and technological empowerment,while also enhancing its participation in global governance through international cooperation to provide “Chinese solutions” for addressing debt challenges. |
| Key words: Key words：National Debt；The French Government；Debt Risk；Fiscal Sustainability |
