| 摘要: |
| 摘要：推动产业链、创新链、资金链、人才链融合发展是贯彻新发展理念、构建新发展格局的重要战略举措。基于2012－2021年中国30个省（区、市）的数据，利用耦合协调度模型测算分析中国制造业产业链、创新链、资金链和人才链（以下简称“四链”）的耦合协调度，运用核密度估计法和Dagum基尼系数考察其时间演进态势和空间差异来源，利用障碍度模型探究影响中国制造业“四链”耦合协调度的主要因素。研究结果表明：制造业“四链”耦合协调发展态势维稳向好，整体处于中度耦合协调阶段；创新链子系统发展持续滞后于产业链、资金链、人才链子系统；除“产业链－资金链”外，其他子系统“两两”间的耦合协调度均呈增长趋势；制造业“四链”耦合协调发展的区域差异大致呈现先上升后下降的倒“U”型趋势，主要来自区域间差异；目前要素层面临的主要障碍因子分别为产业链宽度、创新环境、资金周转能力和人才结构。最后，从鼓励区域间合作、优化创新激励机制、完善金融支持体系和引领人才回归实体经济部门等方面提出建议。 |
| 关键词: 关键词：“四链”；耦合协调度；时空特征；演化障碍 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F424.4 |
| 基金项目:基金项目：国家社会科学基金一般项目“数字普惠金融支持中小企业发展效率提升的机理分析与优化路径研究”（21BJY047）；重庆市技术预见与制度创新专项“‘产业链、创新链、资金链、人才链’深度耦合与重庆实证研究”（2023TFII-0IX0179）；重庆市教育委员会研究生科研创新项目“‘人才链、资金链、创新链、产业链’四链耦合协调发展的内在机理、系统测度与实现路径研究”（CYS23411）。 |
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| The Coupled Coordination Development of Four Chains in Chnese Manufacturing Industry：Statistical Measurement and Evolutionary Trends |
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WANG Ya-fei，SHI Ming，HUANG Huan-huan
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(School of Economics and Management，Chongqing Normal University)
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| Abstract: |
| Abstract：Promoting the integration of industry chain，innovation chain，capital chain and talent chain is not only a strategic initiative to implement the new development concept and build a new development pattern，but also an important support for the construction of a modern industrial system and an important hand in improving the national innovation system.Based on the data of 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2021，this study measures and analyses the coupling coordination degree of Chinese manufacturing industry chain，innovation chain，capital chain and talent chain (hereinafter referred to as the “four chains”) using the coupling coordination degree model，examines its temporal evolution and spatial difference sources using the kernel density estimation method and the Dagum Gini coefficient，and investigates the main factors affecting the coupling coordination degree of the “four chains” of Chinese manufacturing industry by using the obstacle degree model.The results indicate that the national manufacturing industry’s “four chains” have experienced a year-on-year increase in their coupled and coordinated development and the overall level of coupled and coordinated stage is at a moderate level；the development of the innovation chain subsystem continues to lag behind that of the industrial，financial and talent chain subsystems；In addition to the “industrial chain financial chain”，the coupling and coordination degree between the other subsystems “two by two” are all showing a growing trend；the regional differences in the coupling and coordinated development of the “four chains” in the national manufacturing industry roughly show an inverted “U” trend of rising and then declining，which is mainly due to the inter-regional differences；at present，the main obstacles faced by the national factor layer are industrial chain width，innovation environment，capital turnover capacity and talent structure.The study presents recommendations for encouraging inter regional cooperation，optimising the incentive mechanism for innovation，improving the financial support system，and leading talents to return to the real sector of the economy. |
| Key words: Key words：Four Chains；Degree of Coupling Coordination；Spatial and Temporal Characteristics；Evolutionary Barriers |
