| 摘要: |
| 在“双循环”新格局下，中国处于居民消费升级的关键时期，研究政府转移支付对优化居民消费结构的作用具有重要意义。本文利用中国家庭追踪调查（CFPS）面板数据，从参与行为及受益程度的研究视角出发，探究代表性政府转移支付对居民消费升级的影响。主要结论如下：政府转移支付促进家庭消费升级，并且参与行为的影响相对于受益程度更加显著；从区域层面看，该效应在西部和东部家庭更显著；从城乡层面看，农村家庭比城镇家庭更显著；从生命周期看，中老年家庭比青年家庭更显著。影响机制检验表明，家庭的经济地位和心理预期在政府转移支付影响消费升级的过程中均发挥正向中介作用，增强了政策实施效果。本研究为促进居民消费升级提供了有益启示。 |
| 关键词: 政府转移支付；消费升级；工具变量；中介效应 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F812.4 |
| 基金项目:国家社会科学基金后期资助项目“公共卫生财政拄撑健康中国建设研究”。 |
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| Research on the Mechanism and Experience of Government Transfer Payment on the Upgrading of Residents’ Consumption：Evidence Baesd on the CFPS Micro Data |
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HU Ruo-pan
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School of Economics
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| Abstract: |
| Under the new pattern of “double circulation”，China is in an important period of consumer upgrading.It is of great significance to study the role of government transfer payment in optimizing consumption structure.Based on the panel data of China Household tracking survey （CFPS），this paper systematically investigates the impact of representative government transfer payments on household consumption upgrading by basing on the dual dimensions of participation behavior and benefit degree.The results show that government transfer payment positively promotes the upgrading of household consumption，and from a regional point of view，the effect is more significant in Western and Eastern households；From the perspective of urban and rural areas，rural families are more significant than urban families；From the perspective of life cycle，middle aged and elderly families are more significant than young families.The impact mechanism shows that the income gap plays a negative regulatory effect，and the familys economic status and psychological expectation play a positive intermediary role in the process of government transfer payment affecting consumption upgrading，which enhances the policy effect.Finally，it provides useful enlightenment for promoting the upgrading of residents consumption. |
| Key words: Government Transfer Payment；Consumption Upgrading；Instrumental Variables；Mediation Effect |
