| 摘要: |
| 本文从金融开放过程中我国金融风险与国际金融风险的相互影响入手，分析我国金融开放在经济金融发展的不同阶段对金融风险的影响。研究表明，在金融业发展程度很低时,金融开放和经济增长会加剧风险,而在金融业高度发达时，资本市场开放表现出促进风险相互传染的通道功能，货币市场开放和经济增长表现出抑制国内风险功能，但这种风险抑制功能只在短期有效。因此，本文提出深化金融业开放过程中，我国要平衡好金融业开放、金融业发展与经济增长之间的关系。 |
| 关键词: 金融开放；国际风险传染；门槛效应 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F830.2 |
| 基金项目: |
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| Does Financial Openness Exacerbate Risks in China’s Financial System? |
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QIAN Dong-ping
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The People’s Bank of China,Chongqing Operations Office
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| Abstract: |
| This paper starts with the mutual influence of Chinas financial risks and international financial risks in the process of financial opening,and analyzes the impact of China’s financial opening on financial risks at different stages of economic and financial development.Research shows that when the financial industry development degree is very low,financial openness and economic growth will exacerbate risks,and when financial industry is highly developed,open capital markets will promote mutual infection of risks,monetary market and economic growth will inhibit risks,but this function only effective in the short term.Therefore,in the process of deepening and accelerating the opening of the financial industry,we need to balance the opening of the financial industry,the development of the financial industry and the economic growth relationship. |
| Key words: Financial Opening;International Risk Contagion;Threshold Effect |
