| 摘要: |
| 本文运用判别抽样法，定点选取了16个省（市）国定贫困县中的1503户暂时性贫 困农户为对象，对其经济特征、信贷需求及贷款可获得性进行了调查分析，在此基础上，运用 Probit模型对其贷款可获得性影响因素进行了实证检验。调查发现：大多数暂时性贫困农户均 有信贷需求，且以中短期和小额为主，用途以消费为主，生产次之，信贷可获得性整体偏低， 且正规信贷获取难度大于非正规信贷。实证结果显示：户主受教育程度、家庭收入、社会关系 对贫困农户正规信贷和整体信贷可获得性均有正向影响；家庭社会关系及区域影响力对非正 规信贷可获性有显著正向影响，金融机构物理距离对贫困农户信贷可获得性产生了一定的排斥 效应。可见，户主文化程度、家庭收入、社会关系、金融网点已成为我国贫困农户信贷可获得 性的现实制约因素。 |
| 关键词: 贫困农户；信贷可获得性；影响因素；Probit模型 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F830.2 |
| 基金项目:本文受到国家社科基金重点项目（13AJY019）“财政金融服务创新与新型农业经营体系构建的协同机
制与模式研究”、国家社科基金青年项目（12CJY062）“农村扶贫金融制度构建与创新研究”、重庆市人文社科重点研 究基地项目（13SKB019）“农村扶贫开发中财政金融协同扶贫机制与模式研究”、重庆市人文社科重点研究基地项目
（14SKB052）“重庆市农村土地流转市场建设研究”和西南大学中央高校基本科研重大创新团队项目（SWU1509384） “农业现代化中农地资本化的路径优化与制度创新研究”的资助。 |
|
| Research on the Relationship Between Fund Flow of China NationalAdvanced Payment System and the GDP— Taking Chongqing as an Example |
|
Wang Dingxiang，Zhou Can，Li Lingli
|
|
College of Economics and Management, Southwest University
|
| Abstract: |
| This paper chooses 1503 temporary poor farmers from 16 poor provinces in China by using discriminant sampling method and makes a survey analysis of their economic characteristics, credit demanding and availability of credit. On this basis, we makes an empirical analysis on influencing factors of credit availability by using Probit models. The survey findings show that most of the temporary poor farmers have credit demanding, which is oriented to consumptionand production, but the credit availability is low, and accessing to formal finance is more difficult than to non-formal. The empirical results show that household ers’ education level, family income, social relations all have positive impact on the accessibility to credit.Household assets, population scale and health situation have positive impact on the availability of credit but is not significant; The families’ social relationship and its regional influence have a significant positive influence on the credit availability to informal finance; to some extent, the physical distance to financial institutions puts a repulsion effect on the credit availability. Visibly, the low education level of householders, less family income, poor social relationship and far physical distance are the important influencing factors to poor credit availability for poor farmers. |
| Key words: Poor farmers; Availability of credit; Influencing factors; Model of Probit |
